Showing posts with label Preview/Prediction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Preview/Prediction. Show all posts

May 8, 2011

EPL: Manchester United vs. Chelsea Tactical Preview


Manchester United takes on Chelsea at Old Trafford in a game that for many will decide the destination of the English Premier League title for this season.

With just three games to go, the two teams left standing after all the dust has settled are just separated by three points with an equal goal difference.

In other words, whoever wins this game should take the title and when all is said and done, this game for all intents and purposes is a final.

Apr 19, 2011

Stan Kroenke and Arsenal: The More Things Change The More They Stay The Same


It would seem that the old adage of "the more things change, the more they stay the same" will be most apt following Stan Kroenke's move to take control of the boardroom at Arsenal FC.

The American businessman is now in receipt of 62 percent of the club and is facing an uphill battle to take full control of it after both Alisher Usmanov (26 percent) and the Arsenal Supporters Trust (claims to own 3 percent and represent up to 15 percent) both refused to sell him their holdings within the club.

As such, the boardroom is now locked in a stalemate; on the pitch the club are more interested in finishing in the top four than winning trophies and given Stan Kroenke's past, this philosophy looks like it will be continued into the future...

Apr 8, 2011

Tottenham Fight to Save Their Season After Real Madrid Hammering

Tottenham Hotspur's season stands on a knife edge following their 4-0 hammering away to Real Madrid in the Champions League midweek. Qualifying to the Semi-Finals of the Champions League is an impossible task but finishing in the top four is still within their grasp...

Feb 12, 2011

Roy Hodgson Takes Over at West Brom in the Hope of Getting England Call


Ex-Liverpool boss Roy Hodgson has taken over from Roberto Di Matteo as manager of West Bromwich Albion after the Italian was sacked following a disastrous run of results that saw the Baggies lose 13 of their last 18 games. It will be the 63-year-old's 21st management job in a football career that has spanned 46 years.

The move back into the dugout for has come much quicker than anyone expected, including Hodgson. From being unceremoniously sacked by Liverpool after just six months it was assumed by the watching football world that the well liked manager would take a well deserved break from the game.

However, it would seem that his desire to succeed Fabio Capello as England manager next summer after the Euro 2012 finals would be the main catalyst to a quick return to the game.

Fernando Torres Signing For Chelsea Will Get Carlo Ancelotti The Sack


Chelsea FC pulled off one of the biggest transfers of all time recently, when they took Fernando Torres from Liverpool for £50 million. The move was seen by many as Roman Abramovich flexing his financial might to not only get the Pensioners back in the title race, but also as a way of bringing the Champions League to Stamford Bridge.

However, while that may have been the Russian Oligarch's main aim, what he has achieved is a further erosion of the fragile foundation under Carlo Ancelotti's feet.

As the league table stands, Chelsea has 44 points and is a full 10 points behind the leaders, Manchester United, with just 13 games to go. Considering that the Red Devils have only lost one game from the previous 25, it looks highly unlikely that Alex Ferguson would allow his team to lose four games from their remaining fixtures to leave the Blues with a chance at retaining their title.

This, of course, means that Chelsea's only real aim for the rest of the season is the trophy that Roman Abramovich craves so much...the Champions League.

Last season, as Chelsea was eliminated from the Champions League by Jose Mourinho and Inter Milan, an incandescent Roman Abramovich issued an ultimatum to Carlo Ancelotti:

Win the league, or else.

At the time, a Chelsea insider told ESPN "[Ancelotti's future] now depends on the league. He will need to win the league to survive."

So, it is not beyond the realms of imagination to think that the Chelsea owner has issued a similar demand about the Champions League this time around.



The insider also told Soccernet that Abramovich wanted to bring Fernando Torres to the club next season, despite other areas of the team needing renewal.

"Of course Roman wants Torres, but he will not pay even £50 million for him, and Liverpool will be asking more than that."

“If the situation stays the same at Liverpool, then they will have to consider selling Torres, but you will not be able to get him for £50 million.

"How much? No one knows yet, as Liverpool has yet to decide to sell him."

Just last week, Roman Abramovich fulfilled one of his footballing ambitions when he bought the services of Fernando Torres for the £50 million mentioned last March.

With that, there are a number of things to be taken from the purchase of the Spanish striker.

The foremost is Torres was an Abramovich signing, and Carlo Ancelotti was not consulted on the addition of another striker. With that in mind, you can see how Abramovich sees himself as the manager of the club and that Ancelotti is little more than a coach with no say in the matter.

If Ancelotti had been consulted, then he would surely have looked at bringing some much needed creativity into midfield. This is an area where Chelsea are weakest, as the defeat to Liverpool showed.

The Reds used an unconventional 3-6-1 or 5-3-1-1, depending upon your point of view, to stifle Chelsea’s powerhouse midfield. With the Blues' lack of creativity, Kenny Dalglish’s side basically strangled the life out of the defending champions.

The Liverpool defeat, albeit with Torres on the team, demonstrated all the main reasons Chelsea’s season has come undone and why they will probably finish the season trophy-less.

They are an incredibly cohesive unit and every move has the look of a well-worked training-ground set piece. If those do not work, they lack a creative player in the midfield who can find teammates in dangerous areas of the pitch.

While the Pensioners midfield is their greatest asset, it is also a liability against teams that are well organised and who, most importantly, pack midfield.

It speaks volumes that Liverpool’s caretaker manager chose to take Chelsea on where they are physically strongest, because he was full in the knowledge that once that area of the pitch was won, Chelsea had no other routes to victory.

In essence, the supply lines to Didier Drogba and Torres were cut off completely.

Even if Carlo Ancelotti had acted more quickly to bring on Malouda and Kalou, the game was up, as both of those players are wide forwards rather than wide midfielders. Thus, the personnel up front would make no difference to the outcome of the game, as midfield was where the game needed to be changed.

This immediately points to the two areas Ancelotti would have strengthened before even looking at bringing in another centre forward, particularly one with such a poor track record at finding a partner.

Chelsea needs a creative central midfielder and a wide midfielder.

The defeat to Liverpool effectively ended Chelsea’s slim title hopes, and now Carlo Ancelotti’s job is dependent upon winning the Champions League.

The Italian can rightly feel aggrieved with Abramovich. Even though he has done a superb job since joining the club from AC Milan, winning the double in his first year, that hasn’t stopped Abramovich from seemingly undermining his head coach at every opportunity.

The first example was last March when he told Ancelotti he would be sacked if he did not deliver the league title. This effectively sent the message out to the players that, with anything less than a 100 percent success rate, they would have a new boss. Every player worth his salt knows that this demand is impossible over the fullness of time.

The next step was the disgraceful sacking of Ray Wilkins.

Regardless of what Wilkins’ role was at the club and whether Abramovich thought he was needed or not, Wilkins was Ancelotti’s man. By unceremoniously sacking him in the manner that he did, Abramovich sent another two messages out to the team:
  1. Roman Abramovich is the main man at Chelsea, not Carlo Ancelotti.
  2. Ancelotti is in an uncertain position and is not important enough to consult on the team’s direction, never mind the club’s direction.
Shortly after Wilkins’ removal, Ancelotti was inflicted with Michael Emanalo, a coach with very little experience of football at the highest level.

His installation as Ancelotti’s right-hand man is seen with distrust by all involved in the first-team set-up. Emanalo is thought of as little more than a spy for Roman Abramovich, and Ancelotti has done his best to distance himself from the new appointee.

This also means Ancelotti is now completely alone at Stamford Bridge, with no one to turn to for advice or to brainstorm with.

It is in this atmosphere that Carlo Ancelotti approached the League Managers Association in late November, to seek advice on his standing and employment rights at Chelsea.

He spoke on the matter and offered a frank opinion on where he stands at the club and how his role is completely different than the one enjoyed by Sir Alex Ferguson at Manchester United.

He said, "You compare me with Ferguson, it's a different position. Ferguson has total control of the team. I have just technical direction. Full-stop.”
This was a clear indication that Ancelotti has no say or power at the club and that every signing is chosen for him, regardless of how he feels about the matter.

Now, the latest step in the constant disruption of Carlo Ancelotti has seen Roman Abramovich buy Fernando Torres.

There can be little doubt that the Chelsea manager would not have chosen Fernando Torres as a player to bring in.

The ex-Liverpool striker has a fearsome reputation in front of goal, but his link-up play outside the box is average and his past history has shown that he is a striker who plays best by himself, in a counter-attacking team where he can come onto the ball rather than playing with his back to goal.

If anything, Ancelotti would have tried to buy Andy Carroll, as the ex-Newcastle No. 9 is as close a player to a young Didier Drogba as you’re going to find.

He would have fit in at Chelsea seamlessly.

It is clear for all to see that Carlo Ancelotti is living on borrowed time at Chelsea. The ironic twist in all of this is that the newest catalyst of erosion, Torres, is also the only man who can save his job.

Given Chelsea’s and Torres’ form over the last couple of months, it seems highly unlikely that things will click in time to win Ancelotti and Abramovich the Champions League.

First up is FC Copenhagen in two weeks time. The Danish club are seen by many as the weakest team in the Last 16, but the short time frame leaves Ancelotti struggling for answers.

The likeliest result is that Chelsea will beat FC Copenhagen, with or without Fernando Torres. However, the real test of the new partnership with Drogba and Anelka is likely to happen in April in the quarterfinal, just eight games away.

To go any further, the Blues will be hoping for another good draw. But, considering that the waiting teams are likely to include Barcelona, Real Madrid and Manchester United, amongst others, their chances won’t be good.

Looking at their current form and the type of player that Torres is, it is very hard to see that particular partnership working, and it looks increasingly likely that Chelsea will not win the Champions League this year.
Should that happen, Roman Abramovich is almost certain to send Carlo Ancelotti back to Italy, with AS Roma as his likeliest destination.

The irony for Carlo Ancelotti is that the last signing by Roman Abramovich, Fernando Torres, said, “If you don’t play in the Champions League, it is as if you don’t exist.”
He’ll find that, as far as Abramovich is concerned, that quote is very true indeed.

Jan 14, 2011

Steven Pienaar's Move to Spurs Means The End of the Road for Aaron Lennon

Despite Chelsea making a last ditch, £6 million, 11th hour bid for Steven Pienaar's services, it now looks very likely that the Everton midfielder will be winging his way to Tottenham Hotspur. Harry Redknapp has been tracking the South African midfielder for some time and his impending arrival at White Hart Lane should by all accounts speed up the exit of Aaron Lennon from the club...

Aug 11, 2010

EPL Preview 2010/11: Chelsea's Pensioners Not Too Old for Another Title


Carlo Ancellotti's may side have won the title on the last day of the season with an 8-0 demolition of Wigan but the real truth is that Blues were by far and away the best team in the league last year and will be the team to beat once again.

May 8, 2010

Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur: Bigger Than the Champions League Final

Spurs travel to the Eastlands tomorrow to take on the financial might of Manchester City in a match that promises to be one of the highlights of the season, and is almost certainly more important than the Champions League Final for a number of reasons.

When the two teams met last December it was Spurs who triumphed after a brace from Niko Krancjar and a neat finish from Jermaine Defoe gave the White Hart Lane outfit full points. The 3-0 defeat signalled the end of Mark Hughes' time in charge at City, and he was soon replaced by Italian schemer and fashionable scarf wearer Roberto Mancini.

The former Inter boss has continued the early good work set in motion by Hughes and, now, as expected, City stand on the brink of Champions League qualification.

Only Harry Redknapp's over achieving Tottenham team stand in their way of a potential £60 million, European and Premier League domination.

For those of you who think that will hardly be the case think again.

In the space of just 24 months Manchester City have spent something in the region of £200 million and trebled their wage bill. That has guaranteed them a challenge at the top four, should they progress one further then they will consolidate their position and spend again.

This game represents a turning point in many futures, for not only Tottenham or City, but for the other challenging teams in the league.

Victory for Spurs will push City's master plan back a year or two, while the money they could gain should take them further ahead of rivals Everton, Aston Villa, and maybe even Liverpool.

Champions League qualification for Manchester City would almost certainly see them sign better players and it is conceivable that they would surpass Arsenal and become viable title challengers with Chelsea and Manchester United.

It is a game with many destiny's on the line, but back to the match.

Both teams have goalkeeping problems.

Shay Given is out with a dislocated shoulder, which will see the Donegalman return to action next September or October. Huerelho Gomes damaged his groin, with only one minute remaining in the 1-0 win over Bolton at the weekend, and is a major doubt for the clash.

It means that both sides could potentially have reserve team goalkeepers between the posts in the biggest match either club has had in years. City's problems saw them bring in former Spurs 'keeper Martin Fulop on loan from Sunderland after they exploited a loop hole in the FA's rules governing goalkeepers, while Tottenham will probably have to make do with young Ben Alnwick.

The ex-Sunderland shotstopper joined the Lilywhites in January 2007 and has yet to make his first team debut at Spurs.

At the back both teams are likely to be without influential defenders. Jolean Lescott is out with a hamstring injury while Spurs will be without Vedran Corluka, long term absentee Johnathan Woodgate, and most probably Ledley King.

One of the best defenders in the league, King suffers from acute knee problems and can only play every six days. Whether he will take the pain and suffer through the City match remains to be seen, but it would be the ideal calling card to Fabio Capello who is sure to be in attendance.

City are at full strength in midfield where as Spurs will miss their infulential Croatian Kranjcar.

Tottenham will have the advantage as far as defence and midfield is concerned. They are a better unit at the back—Youness Kaboul has come in for Corluka without breaking stride,  Michael Dawson has progressed into a real candidate for South Africa, and Benoit Assou-Ekotto is the only real weak link at left full.

Roberto Mancini's men have lacked a certain creative spark through the middle this year, and it is likely that he will bring Shaun Wright-Phillips in at right midfield in an effort to expose the Cameroonian.

However, that could be tempered by the fact that Gareth Bale is certain to start in left midfield for Spurs, and one would think that Mancini's Italian mentality might take over and go with a defensive player instead of the nippy winger.

The middle of the park is where the battle will be won and lost. Patrick Vieira will almost certainly start with Gareth Barry and possibly Nigel De-Jong.

It will be interesting to see if Redknapp starts with Aaron Lennon or if he'll keep the winger on the bench. It might be a gamble worth taking as there will be no point worrying about the match on Sunday if City win, however if Spurs can keep it tight and take a draw the advantage swings to them.

Harry Redknapp should counter City's midfield by dropping Luka Modric to the bench and starting with the highly combative duo of Tom Huddlestone and Wilson Palacios. If Spurs do go with this midfield pairing then expect City to hit their forward line early and quickly.

At the moment City have one of the most formidable strike-forces in the league with Carlos Tevez in fantastic form. He will be making his 100th Premier League start and needs just one goal to reach the magical 50 milestone. Craig Bellamy is ample backup to the Argentinian and is a handful for any defence, while Emmanuel Adebayor is a brilliant as he is contrary. If all three are on form then City can blow any team away.
Contrast their form with the attacking players of Spurs who seem to have gone off the boil at the most important time for the club.

Peter Crouch has been in and out all year, Roman Pavlyuchenko seems to be playing at a good level, but his finishing boots have deserted him, and Jermaine Defoe looks bereft of confidence.

Add everything together and it makes for a highly intriguing and entertaining match.

Both sides like to play football and the game will boil down to the individual battles all over the pitch.
Both teams will look to exploit each others defences. Bellamy and Pavlyuchenko will drop deep giving problems to the centre halves and centre midfielders causing confusion as to who should pick up who.
If Spurs can push on from the middle with Huddlestone, who can shoot from anywhere, this will make City's defenders follow their counterparts leaving gaps for the lightning quick Defoe to expose. The exact same can be said for City and Tevez, but Dawson is a better defender than Toure and the difference between winning and losing could be a fine line.

The game is almost too tight to call, but Spurs have that little bit extra through their team that could make the difference.

It is worth noting that of Spurs eight trips to the top eight teams in the league they have yet to win. However, Spurs have won 11 of the last 12 fixtures between the two clubs.

Home advantage for such a huge game cannot be underestimated and City will start as slight favourites for a match that will award the winning team more money than the Champions League Final and will shape the league for years to come.

May 2, 2010

World Cup Fixture List

 

Chronological World Cup fixtures

Friday, 11 June 2010
South Africa v Mexico, Gp A, 15:00
Uruguay v France, Gp A, 19:30

Saturday, 12 June 2010
Argentina v Nigeria, Gp B, 15:00
England v USA, Gp C, 19:30
South Korea v Greece, Gp B, 12:30

Sunday, 13 June 2010
Algeria v Slovenia, Gp C, 12:30
Germany v Australia, Gp D, 19:30
Serbia v Ghana, Gp D, 15:00

Monday, 14 June 2010
Italy v Paraguay, Gp F, 19:30
Japan v Cameroon, Gp E, 15:00
Netherlands v Denmark, Gp E, 12:30

Tuesday, 15 June 2010
Brazil v North Korea, Gp G, 19:30
Ivory Coast v Portugal, Gp G, 15:00
New Zealand v Slovakia, Gp F, 12:30

Wednesday, 16 June 2010
Honduras v Chile, Gp H, 12:30
South Africa v Uruguay, Gp A, 19:30
Spain v Switzerland, Gp H, 15:00

Thursday, 17 June 2010
Argentina v South Korea, Gp B, 12:30
France v Mexico, Gp A, 19:30
Greece v Nigeria, Gp B, 15:00

Friday, 18 June 2010
England v Algeria, Gp C, 19:30
Germany v Serbia, Gp D, 12:30
Slovenia v USA, Gp C, 15:00

Saturday, 19 June 2010
Cameroon v Denmark, Gp E, 19:30
Ghana v Australia, Gp D, 15:00
Netherlands v Japan, Gp E, 12:30

Sunday, 20 June 2010
Brazil v Ivory Coast, Gp G, 19:30
Italy v New Zealand, Gp F, 15:00
Slovakia v Paraguay, Gp F, 12:30

Monday, 21 June 2010
Chile v Switzerland, Gp H, 15:00
Portugal v North Korea, Gp G, 12:30
Spain v Honduras, Gp H, 19:30

Tuesday, 22 June 2010
France v South Africa, Gp A, 15:00
Greece v Argentina, Gp B, 19:30
Mexico v Uruguay, Gp A, 15:00
Nigeria v South Korea, Gp B, 19:30

Wednesday, 23 June 2010
Australia v Serbia, Gp D, 19:30
Ghana v Germany, Gp D, 19:30
Slovenia v England, Gp C, 15:00
USA v Algeria, Gp C, 15:00

Thursday, 24 June 2010
Cameroon v Netherlands, Gp E, 19:30
Denmark v Japan, Gp E, 19:30
Paraguay v New Zealand, Gp F, 15:00
Slovakia v Italy, Gp F, 15:00

Friday, 25 June 2010
Chile v Spain, Gp H, 19:30
North Korea v Ivory Coast, Gp G, 15:00
Portugal v Brazil, Gp G, 15:00
Switzerland v Honduras, Gp H, 19:30

Saturday, 26 June 2010
Winner Gp A v Runner-up Gp B, 16R, 15:00
Winner Gp C v Runner-up Gp D, 16R, 19:30

Sunday, 27 June 2010
Winner Gp B v Runner-up Gp A, 16R, 19:30
Winner Gp D v Runner-up Gp C, 16R, 15:00

Monday, 28 June 2010
Winner Gp E v Runner-up Gp F, 16R, 15:00
Winner Gp G v Runner-up Gp H, 16R, 19:30

Tuesday, 29 June 2010
Winner Gp F v Runner-up Gp E, 16R, 15:00
Winner Gp H v Runner-up Gp G, 16R, 19:30

Friday, 2 July 2010
Wnr Gp A/R-Up Gp B v Wnr Gp C/R-Up Gp D, QF, 19:30
Wnr Gp E/R-Up Gp F v Wnr Gp G/R-Up Gp H, QF, 15:00

Saturday, 3 July 2010
Wnr Gp B/R-Up Gp A v Wnr Gp D/R-Up Gp C, QF, 15:00
Wnr Gp F/R-Up Gp E v Wnr Gp H/R-Up Gp G, QF, 19:30

Tuesday, 6 July 2010
Winner Q/F 1 v Winner Q/F 3, SF, 19:30

Wednesday, 7 July 2010
Winner Q/F 2 v Winner Q/F 4, SF, 19:30

Saturday, 10 July 2010
Loser SF1 v Loser SF2, 3rd, 19:30

Sunday, 11 July 2010
Winners SF1 v Winners SF2, F, 19:30

Apr 24, 2010

Spineless Arsene Wenger Is Turning Arsenal into a Version of Tottenham Hotspur

Arsenal's tilt at the title has ended yet again, although the Gunners did hang in for longer than most predicted. But the same old questions now need to be answered, the most prominent being: Why does Arsene Wenger not see what everyone else does?

As with any problem, there are a number of places to start—Is it Arsene's tactics, the players, the board, the lack of money?

Easiest place to begin is the current squad.

Arsenal has not improved enough on last season. Last year, they finished on 72pts; this year they have 71pts with three games to go. However, the Gunners title challenge was predicated on Chelsea and Manchester United's dropping of needless points, rather than their own radical improvement.

Only one player of substance joined the club last summer—Thomas Vermaelan for £10 million. Since coming in, the previously unknown Belgian international has gone on to have a fabulous debut season, but his arrival was only one baby step in the right direction.

That is because Wenger stuck with a few players who have always had questions surrounding them. The goalkeeping situation immediately springs to mind.

Since David Seaman left Arsenal in 2003, they have not had a top class 'keeper. Jens Lehmann might have been the man in goal in 2004, but he did make his fair share of mistakes in that amazing season and as the years went by, those mishaps became more and more common.

His replacement, Manuel Almunia, was another step backwards. The Spanish 'keeper simply is not good enough to win a league. He makes far too many mistakes, and it is amazing that his career at Arsenal has lasted for so long.

His current rival, Lukasz Fabianski, or "Flappyanski" as Gunners fans are beginning to call him, has enjoyed a torrid time as the net-minder on the few occasions he has managed to take to the pitch.
So if the goalkeeper problem is so obvious, then why hasn't Wenger brought in someone good?
It's not like there are no other good 'keepers out there.

Another problem is the centre of defence. Sure, Vermaelen has been good, and William Gallas has probably enjoyed his best season in an Arsenal jersey, but the flaky Frenchman is liable to self destruct at any moment.
As a good manager, Le Prof should be guarding against this by bringing in a player of stature.

Sol Campbell, but for his few man-of-the-match performances, is not the answer. Last season, Richard Dunne was allowed to leave Manchester City for a measly £5 million, and he is exactly the kind of player the Gunners need.

Then there's central midfield...

Many Arsenal fans feel there is nothing wrong with the current central midfield set-up. Alex Song is improving, Cesc Fabregas is brilliant, and whoever else slots in can play with the best of them.

Problem is, Song offers very little going forward, Fabregas offers very little going back, and the extra body offers very little when the chips are down.

Before I go any further, Cesc Fabregas is a fantastic player, a joy to watch, and one of my favourite players.
But...in building the current Arsenal team around him, Wenger has been forced to go with a five-man midfield.
Up until 2004, Le Prof usually played 4-4-2. The year after the Invincibles won the league, Cesc Fabregas became the main player in central midfield. Since then Arsenal have moved to 4-5-1 to cover his deficiencies.
It is also worth pointing out that Arsenal have not won a trophy since Cesc became the lynch-pin of the team.

For the bigger teams, Arsenal have become easier to play against. They are often out-fought in the critical area of central midfield, and that is one of the vital reasons why Arsenal are not challenging for titles.
They need to bring in a central midfielder who can do everything. An old fashioned player who can tackle, pass, shoot, and head the ball.

Song and Fabregas share these roles between them, and their partner—be it Samir Nasri, Denilson, or Rosicky—only provides support in one direction. It is such a critical area of the team, and Wenger has an eye for great midfielders.

Vieira and Petit were one of the best partnerships of the modern era, so it again begs the question, why hasn't Arsene tried to sign a similar player?

Up front, Arsenal only have one good striker. Robin van Persie is streets ahead of Niklas Bendtner, or Eduardo, or even Carlos Vela for that matter. They need to bring in a new forward badly. They won't win the league until they do.

One other problem that this current Arsenal team suffer from is that they are virgins.

They have never won anything, because they don't know how to win anything. They lack the nous, experience, and mentality needed to get over the finishing line. One competition that now deserves to be really looked at and treated with respect is the League Cup.

Back in the '70s Brian Clough took over a Nottingham Forest team that had never won a thing. During the time, there was a cup called the Anglo/Scottish Cup, the most disrespected trophy in football.

It was such an awful competition that nobody took it seriously, except Clough and Forest.

They went on to win it in 1977. That first win provided the foundation and desire to go on and win other trophies. Forest went on to win the League in 1978 and 1979, the League Cup in 78 and 79, the European Cup in 1979 and 1980, and the European Super Cup in 1979.

In short, a trophy that meant nothing provided the springboard for the most successful period in Nottingham Forest's history. Arsene Wenger and Arsenal could learn a few lessons from this alone.

Perhaps the biggest problem between Arsenal and winning the league is Arsene Wenger himself.

To win any league, the Champions must by flexible and pragmatic. Tactics must be changed on a whim to suit the occasion. In this aspect, Arsenal are unyielding.

In every season, there comes a time when the game plan has to be changed, and a new approach to the puzzle must be looked at. Arsenal do not change, no matter the opposition. Be they playing against Wigan or Stoke or Barcelona, the Gunners use the same game plan every time. In football, one size does not fit all.

Part of the reason for this is Arsene Wenger's faith in Cesc Fabregas, the 4-5-1, and the style of play they use. He has a beautiful philosophy on the game, and will not change it for anyone. It means that Arsenal will play their flowing game that appeases so many, because they and he have a certain expectation to live up to.
Fabregas deserves to have the team built around him, but Wenger must find the right players.

In 1958 the great Bill Nicholson took over as manager of Tottenham Hotspur. It was an announcement that surprised football.

He was known as a deep thinker on the game and had his own football philosophy, but he was not what you call a household name as far as management was concerned. A very similar figure to Arsene Wenger.
Nicholson had his own philosophies and beliefs and had great time for new scientific approaches to training and tactics. He revolutionised English football with this new approach he instilled in Tottenham.

Within a couple of years, Spurs went on to win the double—the FA Cup and the UEFA Cup—and challenged for the league every season. They only finished outside the top four three times over the next decade.

Tottenham Hotspur and good football became synonymous with each other, just as Arsenal and good football have done so since Arsene Wenger took over.
The problem that Spurs have is that history has dictated that Spurs play a certain way, which has resulted in them winning very little and not even challenging for years. Countless managers at Spurs have refused to become pragmatic.

While the same level of expectation is now bearing down on Wenger, and he won't go against his new beliefs, they have not won anything for the last five years. Le Prof too now believes that the game must be won a certain way.

In football, time moves quickly, far too quickly for some.

In 2004, not one person watching football would have said that the Gunners would win nothing for the rest of the decade. In 1990, nobody in their right minds would have said that it would be that last time that Liverpool would win the league.

Arsenal and Arsene Wenger are at a crossroads.

Le Prof has dithered with this experiment for far too long, and the club have accepted finishing in the top four as the height of their ambitions. Bringing money into the club through the Champions League has become the No. 1 goal for the every year, not winning trophies.

Wenger has to recognise that he has failed with this team, accept it, and move on to get their title challenge back on track. It only needs minor tweaking, and not a huge amount of spending.
Four players and Arsenal could win the league.

He needs to buy his team a strong spine; the one they currently have is too weak to win the title with.
A club with the modern history of Arsenal should not be waiting for their rivals to decline, they should be forcing them to decline, strangling the life out of them when the opportunity arises—just as Manchester United have done to Liverpool.

Arsenal should be doing that to United and Chelsea—and winning the English Premier League on their own terms.

Football is a simple game.

Le Prof is a genius of a manager. Surely he can figure this out?

Apr 20, 2010

World Cup Preview Group A: France, Les Bleus Chances Limited By Domenech

Despite qualifying thanks to a blatant Thierry Henry handball against Ireland in the playoffs, France will head to South Africa as one of the few nations with a real chance of coming home as winners.

Having been handed an easy group in qualifying, Austria, Lithuania, Faroe Islands, Romania, and Serbia, France struggled and eventually finished second to surprise winners Serbia.

Never the most popular man in France, Raymond Domenech's stock plummeted to such an extent that many newspapers called for his head on the eve of the playoffs. FIFA then stepped in and made sure that Les Bleus were seeded, drawing Ireland...

The manner of France's win over the Irish caused world wide headlines, and leading French magazines like Equipe ran polls asking if Ireland deserved a replay. To much suprise the average man on the streets of France voted 'yes'. To Giovani Trappatoni's dismay no replay was ever awarded, but the seeds of doubt in Domenech had grown full bloom and now there was a public outcry for him to be replaced for leading the team to such ignominy.

To say that Domenech is hated is something of an understatement.

With the FFF announcing that he will be replaced immediately after the competition, Domenech has one final chance to redeem himself, and he is armed with an incredibly talented squad.

Schedule

The draw for the World Cup group stages was kind to Les Bleus. Paired with home nation South Africa, Uruguay, and Mexico, there is a very negotiable route to the last 16 awaiting them.

Kindly, they take on Uruguay first on the opening day of the tournament, before the expected winners showdown with Mexico six days later on June 17. Their last fixture sees them face hosts South Africa on June 22 in Bloemfontein in one of the highest stadiums in the world. The altitude could become a real factor.

The main problem facing France will be the travelling. France's first game is in Cape Town's Green Point Stadium, but they will have to travel a massive 1,750km to Polokwane for the Mexico fixture, while El Tri will only have to travel 350km.

It is the minor details such as these that could have a major say on who progresses to the next round, especially as Mexico have the easier opening fixture.

Expect both favourites to play for full points in the usually cagey first matches as they will probably look at the game against each other as being the one to draw, before France go for broke against Bafana Bafana in the final game.

Squad

The squad available to Domenech is ridiculously talented. It is therefore most unfortunate for the many fans of French football that he never seems to pick his strongest team.

Mathieu Flamini only managed one minutes worth of play during the whole two years of qualifying, Karim Benzema found himself on the bench in the crunch deciders against Ireland, and Franck Ribery was only picked for six games. The Bayern star was injured for part of the campaign but often found himself on the bench under the hardest manager to figure out in world football.

Importantly, the whole team is based around Thierry Henry. The ex-Arsenal striker played in every single game, 11, and scored four goals. However, following the famous "Hand of Henry" incident against the Irish his form has dipped dramatically for both club and country.

Recently his club manager at Barcelona, Pep Guardiola, chose to play a defender, Daniel Alves, up front with Lionel Messi against Real Madrid. Los Cules biggest fixture of the season. Such a statement means that the striker has no future left at Camp Nou and that his best days are far behind him.

Whether Domenech retains faith in Henry remains ro be seen, but he does have other options available, namely Benzema, Gignac, Anelka, or even David Trezeguet.

Defensively, France have the players, but they do not have the coach.

They are armed with the likes of Bacari Sagna, Patrice Evra, Eric Abidal and William Gallas but all too often they appear to have only met in the tunnel on the way out to the match. Combine these with the superb Hugo Lloris and France, on paper, have one of the best back-lines in the competition.

They have the right ingredients, but Domenech has yet to make the right recipe.

Strengths and Weaknesses

France possess a midfield of supreme creative prowess. Yoann Gourcouff has improved immensely under Laurent Blanc at Bourdeaux and is a player who can thread the ball through the eye of a needle. He is joined by Franck Ribery. The Bayern Munich left winger is a hugely talented player and is constantly linked with moves to clubs like Manchester United, Real Madrid, and Barcelona. He is phenomenally quick over short distances, has a very low back-lift that makes it very hard for 'keepers to judge his shooting and has a fantastic range for passing.

Obviously France's main strengths are going forward. They have enough players to trouble any team and it is just a matter of the manager getting everybody singing from the same hymn sheet.

The main weakness the team have is the manager. Raymond Domenech is erratic in his judgement, and can leave players out who seem to be playing out of their skins and change his tactics at the drop of a hat when all seemed well in the first place.

It is precisely this reason why Les Bleus defence is so poor.

It would be a great World Cup if...

Make no mistake, France are real contenders to win in South Africa. They have a strong squad, great leaders on the pitch, big match experience, and the players to make an impact. The relative easiness of their group means they should easily stroll through to the next round.

It would be a Disaster if...

France go out in the first round. The group looks easy, but France have to do some huge travelling and have a match at high altitude to negotiate. Mexico will fancy their chances of winning the group, Uruguay will be no pushovers, and South Africa will be hoping for their fanatical home support to carry them through.

The group is the perfect set up to be a banana skin before we even factor in Raymond Domenech.

My Prediction for Les Bleus...

Predicting France is like eating sweets from a box of chocolates, you just never know what you're going to get.

For many players this is their last chance at international glory. For this reason alone, I feel that the elder statesmen of the squad, Henry, Gallas, maybe even Vieira, will take control away from Domenech.

If they can get over their egos and play the right players France could get as far as the semi-finals. If they rely on the manager, expect them to go out in the group stages.

Apr 11, 2010

Wayne Rooney Gamble Has Cost Alex Ferguson and Manchester United the EPL Title

Barely four days since Manchester United exited from the Champions League, and the Wayne Rooney gamble has come back to haunt Sir Alex Ferguson and the Red Devils.

Dropped points to Blackburn Rovers courtesy of a 0-0 draw at Ewood Park have left United needing snookers as they search for that elusive fourth title in a row.

On Wednesday, Sir Alex Ferguson snubbed Dimitar Berbatov not once but twice, first by playing an obviously injured Wayne Rooney ahead of him and then by moving Nani up front when the English international hobbled off. The Bulgarian got to make a cameo appearance with 10 minutes to go after Bayern had snatched the lead on the away goals rule.

It was thoroughly ironic that the wily Scot had to turn to his £31 million signing and ask him to keep Manchester United in the title race against Blackburn.

It is therefore hardly surprising that it did not happen.

During his two years as Manchester United's No. 9, his form has swung from indifferent to inconsistent. His 26 goals in 82 appearances might be a bad return for a centre forward at another club, but at United it verges on meaningless.

Surrounded by the likes of Wayne Rooney, Ryan Giggs, Cristiano Ronaldo, Carlos Tevez, Antonio Valencia, and Paul Scholes, Manchester United have been one of the most creative teams on the planet during Berbatov's time and his contribution has been negligible when compared to that of his teammates.

The main problem surrounding Berbatov, and it probably explains why Ferguson signed him, is that people compare him to Eric Cantona.

While the enigmatic Frenchman was a formidable character both in and out of the dressing room and had a big game mentality as far as the Premiership was concerned, Berbatov has allowed the pressure and expectation of playing for a club like United shrink his character. At times he looks like a lost child at Old Trafford.

In the Champions League, Alex Ferguson had a chance to redress this situation. All he had to do was take Berbatov aside, tell him that the season rested on his shoulders and that he was going to lead the team for the next four games.

Basically boost his confidence, build the team around the classy striker, play to his best attributes, instead of Rooney's, while he was out injured.

Instead Ferguson chose to humiliate Berbatov.

A one-legged Wayne Rooney was considered better than the fully fit Bulgarian.

However, it is very hard to have any kind of sympathy for Berbatov.

Whilst wearing the No. 9 jersey he has been poor, failing to live up to expectations, and Ferguson’s overreaction towards him on Wednesday is a result of the player not giving his all for United.

Ferguson’s stance can be completely understood as far as Berbatov is concerned. He deserved to find himself on the bench, but only if Wayne Rooney was fully fit. By leaving the Bulgarian in the dug out, Ferguson has bitten his own nose off despite his face, and then he has the gall to turn to Berbatov against Blackburn!

It was a must win game against Sam Allardyce’s team. Anything less than a win and United’s chances of winning the league would be all but extinguished.

In short, Fergie gambled United’s entire season on Wayne Rooney’s damaged ankle, when he could have gambled it on Berbatov.

Knowing he is not rated or wanted by Alex Ferguson, Dimitar Berbatov spent the afternoon strolling through the game, a self-fulfilling prophecy in person. Waving his arms in angst at wayward passes by teammates and not helping them when they needed it most.

With eight minutes to go the ball dropped kindly for him on the right hand side of the D. He teed it up nicely, but his wayward shot drifted high and wide of the left hand post.

Along with his career at Old Trafford and United’s title dreams.

Apr 8, 2010

Javier Hernandez Signing Spells End for Dimitar Berbatov at Manchester United


Manchester United and Alex Ferguson have sensationally scooped up 21-year-old striker Javier Hernandez from Chivas in Mexico for an as-yet-undisclosed fee. The signing also seems to signal the end of the affair for Dimitar Berbatov, who is now expected to move on either this or next summer.

Mar 29, 2010

Every Jersey For The 2010 World Cup: The Good The Bad and The Ugly

In June, 32 nations will kick off the world's biggest tournament. There will be a worldwide audience of almost half the planet.

With that captive audience in mind, every competing team has released home and away kits for the month-long tournament.

And with FIFA's new ruling that games will be "home" and "away", every nation will get to wear all of their wares.

Here we take a quick look at some of the jerseys on offer.

The good, the bad, and the downright ugly...

Click here to see a slideshow of the jerseys.

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England's Midfield Problems Solved, Everton's Uncapped Spanish Ace Mikael Arteta

With the World Cup just around the corner, England's injury problems are beginning to mount. Ashley Cole and Aaron Lennon are very doubtful while David Beckham is definitely out. However, the solution is simple. Everton's Spanish play-maker: Mikael Arteta.

A product of Barcelona's youth academy, Arteta has 12 Spanish U-21 caps to his name, but has never made the jump to the senior side. Perhaps this has to do with his unorthodox rise to the upper echelons of the game, as Arteta has always been out of sight and out of mind regarding the national side of Spain.

A successful two year stint in the wilderness of the Scottish Premier League with Rangers was followed up with a brief unhappy return to home soil with Real Zaragoza. Seeing his potential, David Moyes then moved to bring the Spaniard to Goodison Park in 2005 as a replacement for Thomas Gravesen.

In the Everton engine room, Arteta proved an instant hit and helped guide the Toffees into the Champions League positions.

Since then, Arteta has become an integral past of David Moyes' plans. Ever present in the first team, he has played 139 games for the club since 2005. Despite his being one of the Premierships best kept secrets, the creative midfielder has never managed to break into his country's national team.

The closest he has ever come to donning the famous red of Espana was in 2008 when he was called into the first team squad for the first time. However, disaster was to strike in a league game against Newcastle when he ruptured the ligaments in his right knee, forcing him to withdraw from the squad.

The irony of that injury is that it has left the door open for Fabio Capello to call him up for England through a loop hole that allows foreign nationals to declare citizenship after living in one country for five years.

Since January 1, Mikael Arteta has been living in England for five years.

As the World Cup in South Africa nears, England's problems in midfield are mounting. Aaron Lennon is an extreme doubt to make the finals having not played for Tottenham Hotspur since January. David Beckham is definitely out having torn his Achilles tendon last month, and Owen Hargreaves has only recently returned to training at Manchester United.

The solution to all of these problems, and to the dreaded left sided dilemma, is Mikael Arteta.

At this late stage, he is not going to break into the Spanish squad, such is the strength in depth at Vincente Del Bosque's disposal.

Xavi Hernandez, Iniesta, Cesc Fabregas, David Silva, Marcos Senna, and Serqi Busquets all command positions in the squad, and truth be told, Arteta is not going to get past any of these guys to fulfill his dream.

That is where Fabio Capello could exploit the situation. Arteta is an excellent player, incredibly comfortable on the ball, has the eye for a perfect pass, a great work ethic, and above all, he is arguably better than any other midfielder Capello already has.

He can play right, left, deep, in a support role, or as an orthodox central midfielder. He is also an expert from set pieces, something England now lack that Beckham is out. In short, the options he could provide would be incredible.

Now all Fabio has to do is to convince the Spaniard that his future lies with the Three Lions.

If he was to help England to a World Cup victory, few would argue that he was not born there.

At this stage of the game, sentimentality has to be pushed out the window and cold hard science has to take over. Mikael Arteta is one of the best players in the EPL. He would compliment any side, and Fabio Capello owes nothing in loyalty to any of the players who have brought their country to the fringes of World Cup victory.

His loyalty is to England's fans, and it his job to bring the cup back. To do that he has to look at every option and players he has available to him. And he would be breaking no rules if he was to bring the Spaniard into his 23 man squad.

For when push comes to shove and the slim difference between winning and losing is analysed, few would care if Arteta scored the winning goal in the final, unless it was against Spain of course...

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Manchester United vs. Liverpool: EPL Destiny on the Line for Both Clubs

Manchester United and Liverpool meet at Old Trafford this Sunday in a game that will almost certainly define their seasons.

If United loses, they will lose ground in the title race, while a loss for Liverpool will increase the mounting pressure on their beleaguered manager, Rafael Benitez.



Ferguson the Wily Manager

For many reasons, it is probably the wrong time for Liverpool to be traveling to the white-hot cauldron of Old Trafford. Having dispatched AC Milan 4-0 with childlike ease last Wednesday, Fulham then walked into the lion's den—and were duly sent packing with a 3-0 drubbing.

In short, United are on song—and they are very much the team you do not want to travel to at this stage of the season. One of the most vital elements of Alex Ferguson's coaching acumen is his uncanny ability to get his team to peak as we enter the business end of the league.

His team has stepped up a gear during the last couple of weeks—since Everton beat them 3-1—and not since 2002 have they managed to score as many goals in one season: 70 in 30 games. And you have to go all the way back to January to find the last goal they conceded at home.

Wayne Rooney has been firing on all cylinders since the start of the season, and he has carried the team through games when it looked as if this title challenge was going to slip away before it really started.

Much to Ferguson's credit, other players have begun to share in the burden Rooney has carried for so long. Antonio Valencia, despite a quiet start to his Red Devils career, has been brilliant since November.

Paul Scholes still defies Father Time and produces performances that players half his age would die for, and Dimitar Berbatov is finally beginning to give regular quality performances.

If he can keep this up, United's attack will be simply frightening as the end of the season draws in.

Park Ji-Sung has continued his selfless existence in the United midfield—and given his recent form and phenomenal honesty on the pitch, it is almost impossible to see him out of the side to face Liverpool this weekend.



United's Predicted Starting Lineup

Edwin Van Der Sar is guaranteed to start in goal. Since his return to the United starting lineup, they have managed to keep five clean sheets in eight games—no small coincidence.

Patrice Evra and Nemanja Vidic will also start—and it will be very interesting to see how the giant Serbian stands up to the power and pace of one Fernando Torres, who always seems to give him a torrid time. Rio Ferdinand should partner Vidic at the back, so the only real question is who Fergie will start at right full.

Given the options, it will either be Gary Neville or Rafael. Despite Neville having a field day against Ronaldinho, who managed to make the United man look 21 again, he should not play. His legs are gone at this level, and the pace his protege will provide could be key to United shackling Torres.

The next big question is whether Ferguson will start with four or five in midfield. Again, the system Benitez has always employed dictates that the Scot has to match him man- for-man—and for that reason, I see United going 4-5-1, which means Berbatov will start on the bench.

Valencia, Park, Fletcher, and Carrick will all start—be it in a 4-4-2 or 4-5-1—so the only question remains for midfield: Scholes or Nani?

The importance of the game would suggest that Ferguson will go with tried and trusted over flair and unpredictability—with Scholes getting the nod over Nani.

That leaves Rooney as the lone striker. This season, he has really come to the fore as a world-class talent—and now the other players look to him to not only make things happen, as before, but also to dig them out of their holes, too.

His industry and honesty mean he will always be a threat for this Liverpool defence—which is blessed with neither the speed nor the strength to combat the United front man.

A win for United would serve as a huge psychological boost as the intensity of their run reaches fever pitch—and it would set them up nicely to welcome Chelsea two weeks later.



Tough Times for Liverpool and Rafa

Liverpool, for their part, have had their worst season in living memory. Dumped out of the Champions League before Christmas and losing 15 matches in one season, the high- spending Anfield outfit now faces the extra embarrassment of missing out on the Champions League completely.

This is a must-win game for Rafael Benitez and his lacklustre side. Lose and the odds of them finishing fourth will increase exponentially—and despite Thursday's 3-0 win over Lille, the Reds flattered to deceive on the night, and they have yet to turn the corner on a miserable season.

This game not only provides that corner, but it also resembles a last chance for the Reds.

Should Liverpool lose and their rivals win, the points difference would almost certainly be too much for them to bridge, given there are so few games left to play.



Liverpool's Predicted Starting Lineup

Pepe Reina is the only player who has lived up to his billing this year, and without him between the sticks, it is frightening to think of what could have happened to Liverpool's season.

Glen Johnsen will start at right full, with Park most probably his opposite number. It will be interesting to see how the duo combat each other and how United look to break the indiscipline of the defender—or whether he will stay loyal to Rafa's orders and guard the "bank."

Emiliano Insua should start on the left. So far this season, his performances have ranged from the sublime to the ridiculous. The Argentinian youngster is not blessed with pace— and as such, he must choose his forward forays carefully. The enemy he faces on Sunday will be ruthless and swift should he stray out of position too often.

Jamie Carragher, Daniel Agger, and Kryiagkos will battle it out for the central berths, but the Greek international should at least find himself on the bench.

As ever, Javier Mascherano will shield the back four, with the only question for Rafa being Lucas or Aquilani. Looking at the season, it is clear that the Spaniard prefers the creatively numb Brazilian—but he will offer a defensive mind and honesty that the Italian is incapable of offering in the middle.

Dirk Kuyt, Yossi Benayoun, and Ryan Babel will battle it out for the two wide positions as a fully fit midfield should provide Rafa with plenty of questions—except for Albert Riera, that is...

Steven Gerrard and Torres will act as link and striker, and the key to unlocking United will fall to this pair—as it almost does in every match.

So far this year, Gerrard has been a shadow of his former self—and he will be looking to improve upon that poor form as the World Cup gets closer. He is no longer the untouchable player he was—and given the right circumstances, he could find himself outside Fabio Capello's starting XI for Aston Villa's James Milner.

Not only does this game represent a turning point in Liverpool's season, but it also represents a turning point in Gerrard's season.

Torres, who unbelievably finds himself on the bench for Spain, will be the key for Liverpool. His Indian sign over Vidic is sure to be on the mind of the Serbian—and it would not be unusual to see Liverpool try to isolate Vidic early on.



Only One Winner?

Looking at the form book, one could only pick United as a winner of this game. But these matches notoriously have their own style of ecosystems and are literally impossible to call.

For instance, no one would have predicted that Liverpool would have destroyed United 4-1 in this fixture last season.

When push comes to shove, I expect Manchester United to have too much for Liverpool in this game.

United will push their wide players right down onto Liverpool's full backs—but with Liverpool pretty much employing a defensive eight and trying to catch teams on the break, they will contribute to their own lack of ambition.

That will leave United's midfield to pick up Gerrard in an effort to snuff out their one consistent creative source in midfield.

Saying all that, Liverpool will fight tooth and nail for every inch of ground—and the onus will be put on the likes of Fletcher and Carrick to create something out of nothing as the Reds will leave no blade of grass unguarded.

Almost too difficult to call, but it is hard to see United not scoring...

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Mar 13, 2010

Can Spurs Catch Arsenal And Finish 3rd In The Premier League?

Spurs strengthened their grip on fourth place in the English Premier League with their 3-1 win over Blackburn Rovers. But is it too late for the Lilywhites to launch a bid to catch Arsenal and finish third?

Looking at the gap between the two teams at the moment you would have to say that the chances of Spurs pulling off a third placed finish were unlikely. However, the two teams have yet to meet and given a swing of two results it is perceivable that the White Hart Lane outfit could achieve the impossible.

Currently the Gunners find themselves in a slightly similar position to their North London rivals in that they need the two teams above them to drop points if they are to win the title. With that being said, what is to stop Arsenal from dropping the same number of points?

Arsenal as has been well documented have, on paper, an easier run in than their two title rivals. But there are a few tricky fixtures as many of the teams they are yet to play are in the middle of the battle to avoid relegation.

They also take on two teams who are chasing the Champions League positions in Spurs and before they take on Manchester City in what promises to be a spicy game considering what happened at the Eastlands earlier in the season.

The Gunners coasted into the Quarter Finals of the Champions League after demolishing a poor Porto team at the Emirates. You can only ever beat what is put in front of you and Arsenal cruelly exposed the difference in class between them and their Portuguese opponents.

Given the right opponent, they could progress to the Semi Finals, but a lot depends on the luck of the draw and avoiding Manchester United, Chelsea, and Barcelona.

As far as their league run is concerned, they have Hull, tonight, (a), West Ham (h), Birmingham (a), Wolves (h), Spurs (a), Wigan (a), Man City (h), Blackburn (a), and Fulham at home on the last day of the season.

One thing to factor in at this stage is that if Spurs beat Fulham in their FA Cup replay at White Hart Lane then the Spurs fixture will be moved to the final week of the season.

Looking at these games in a worst case scenario for the Gunners and they could take between 16 and 19 points, and that is being generous. Best case scenario and they will go unbeaten, claiming between 19 and 21 points.

Spurs need them to lose at least three games, before beating Arsenal too. Meaning that Tottenham will need the Gunners to lose four times from nine games. A distinct impossibility at this late stage.

Spurs also have a good run in, but they do have three huge fixtures in the space of three weeks right in the middle of their run in.

Stoke (a), Portsmouth (h), Sunderland (a), Arsenal (h), Chelsea (h), Manchester United (a), Bolton (h), and finally Burnley away.

From those games it is easy to see Spurs win every game bar the ones against the big three. Their record away to the big four is abysmal, having not won since 1993 against Liverpool, United, Chelsea, or Arsenal.

Their home record is better and given the right conditions, full points are attainable against the Gunners and the Blues, but it would be a tough ask.

Best case scenario has Spurs taking at least 19 points from 24.

Do the math and even with Spurs doing as well as you would hope and Arsenal doing as bad as could be expected, they will not catch the Gunners for third.

The race for fourth though, is very much in their own hands. Games in hand mean very little at this stage of the season and points on the table are all that count, so Aston Villa's and Manchester City's excess of matches to play should not be over estimated.

Looking at Tottenham the club has over achieved so far this season. While many expected them to be fourth placed contenders, few actually expect them to finish there and as the league table stands Spurs are four to six points ahead of their predicted points tally at this stage of the season.

Bookmakers had Spurs down to finish the season on between 55 and 59 points, currently they sit fourth on 52 with eight games to play, five of them highly winnable.

Before the win over Blackburn Harry Redknapp had set his team a target of 19 points to finish fourth. An achievable target.

Third place is out of bounds for this season, but fourth is very much in their own hands.

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Mar 7, 2010

How Much Is Winning a World Cup Actually Worth? Happiness Over Money?

How much is winning a World Cup actually worth? This year, it would seem, that it is more valuable than ever. But is money more important than happiness?

When measuring economies these days two factors are generally considered, money and happiness. A "Happiness Index" is a tool that has been developed to measure the gross national happiness of a country, and in recent times it has become a more accurate tool than by measuring the old GDP.

When the World Cup kicks off in South Africa this summer, FIFA will have set aside some £250 million for prize money. A huge amount you will agree, especially when you consider that the prize money on offer in 2006 was only £140 million.

The 2010 World Cup winners will receive £18million for becoming champions, the losing finalists will take home a miserable £14 million.

Third and fourth, so oft dismissed as meaningless places, will take home £12 million and £11 million respectively. Losing Quarter Finalists will be awarded £8.5 million each while teams exiting in the second round will receive £5.5 million each, leaving teams who were knocked out in the first round ro leave with their tale between their legs carrying £5 million each.

In addition to that, each of the 32 teams on show will receive £600,000 each for expenses incurred during preparation for the month long tournament.

This money will go some way to keeping the competing teams happy, and knowing that club sides from all over the world will be represented, FIFA has also set aside £25 million for them too.

The way their payments are structured is that from 15 days before the tournament commences until one day after the player exits the cup, clubs will receive £980 for every day a player is there. Meaning that the minimum that any team will receive for one single player is £25,480.

This was in exchange for clubs not suing an international team should a player become injured.

So the monitary success of a team in the tournament can be measured, and the further a team progresses the happier it's people will be.

This will have far more significance back home where parties in streets and public houses alike are likely to happen. Should a team progree than their advancement will become a national topic and people who would not normally be football fans will become one as the nation looks on expectantly.

Days of sporting importance have long been linked with the happiness of a state or country.

Simple measurements can be taken to see how the day effected the general populace. Foe example, birth rates usually rise after moments of national significance. Recently the birth rate in Barcelona rose by an incredible 45% after Barca won the Champions League in 2009.

Another simple measurement is suicide. Statistically, it is proven that suicides drop in times of mass public interest in sport. Not because sport all of sudden becomes more important, but the public inclusion of people who normally find themselves marginalised prevents suicide from happening.

Money, of course, is what an important component in making people happy. But it takes a whole change in class before that happiness can really be measured, for most status is what is important.

And that is where happiness can really be measured. People will be happier the further their team progresses, the players will be happy too.

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Feb 27, 2010

Blackburn's Big Sam Taunts Liverpool and Rafael Benitez -You're The New Bolton!

Never a pair to let sleeping dogs lie, Big Sam has moved to provoke Rafael Benitez and Liverpool fans everywhere, by claiming that the Spaniard has destroyed Liverpool and turned them into a modern version of Bolton.

The duo have endured a rivalry that began in 2004 when Bolton beat Liverpool 1-0, the result stirred Benitez to launch a scathing attack on the Lancashire club and their manager for the physical tactics employed during the game. Of course Big Sam reciprocated, and the duo have taken every chance to wind each other up since.

Last season Rafa drew the ire of Big Sam after the Blackburn boss read his counterparts body language as being extremely disrespectful.

Liverpool had taken an early two goal lead through Xabi Alonso when the Liverpool manager walked from the dug out with his arms in a gesture of finality. Big Sam read the hand gesture as Rafa saying the game was all but over. However, Benitez then countered by saying that his gesture was aimed at Alonso, who had refused to follow his managers orders prior to scoring.

Either way it was a storm in a tea cup as both managers looked to get one over on each other.

The two main protagonists meet again today when Blackburn travel to Anfield, and Big Sam has moved quickest this time, by claiming Liverpool under Benitez are just like the Bolton team he used to criticise.

Allardyce said: ‘He’s used all that stuff that he always says he doesn’t like — it’s ironic, isn’t it?

‘I watched them at Manchester City and they got six players booked, so he’s brought the physical side out as well.

‘If it’s a good physical challenge on Sunday then I’ll be more than happy to go down that route — although I don’t really have the players to do that like I did at Bolton.

'But they’ve had to go back to basics and the pretty stuff goes out of the window until you start winning. They have been professional and dogged enough to slowly improve over recent weeks.

‘They have not been as pretty and fluid as they could be but they have done the job and got the results they needed to get back in the pack.’

Allardyce also sensationally revealed that, at the height of the pair’s dispute, he discovered that Rafael Benitez had gone to referees’ chief Keith Hackett with video evidence against Bolton.

Such was the Liverpool manager's dislike of Bolton and Sam Allardyce, he actually compiled a DVD of all of their fouls and tactics and then distributed the recordings to the top referee in the country.

Why Benitez would take such a route is unknown, but it does come across as being extremely childish. Was it an effort to influence referees decisions against Bolton?

Allardyce thought so before adding: ‘He went as far as putting a DVD together and sending it to Keith Hackett. He doesn’t know I know that, but I do. I got on to Keith Hackett and told him I didn’t want it to influence what refs do because it was all a load of rubbish.’

This match between the pair is an important one. Liverpool are currently embroiled in a four way battle for fourth. With only one point separating four teams, Spurs, Manchester City, Liverpool, and Aston Villa.

Losing ground at this stage of the race would be tantamount to disaster and the Reds will go into this game needing to collect all three points.

Fernando Torres and Yossi Benayoun are returning to fitness but should find themselves on the bench, meaning that Liverpool will employ the same stifling tactics that have seen them only lose once in the league since Christmas.

Blackburn, for their part, are on a similar run to the Reds having only lost twice since Christmas and they have begun to pull away from the drop zone that threatened to engulf them.

11 points off the relegation zone and 11 points off Europe mean that Big Sam's team should finish in mid-table respectability.

They will not be easy for Liverpool to break down, especially in their current state, but the difference should be seen when Rafa springs his aces from the bench.

A tight affair that Liverpool should just nudge, but as ever, all eyes will be on the two managers.

John Terry and Wayne Bridge, who?

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